Don’t worry about efficiency and worry about output

I have always thought that being efficient was the way to go for planning my faily schedule, it is only recently that I have come to discover a better way to do it.

We want to look at what you have accomplished during the week rather than how efficient you made everything. Why care about saving your commute if at the end of the week you didn’t write any stories or blog posts.

From now on I don’t worry about if this is the most efficient way of doing it – I just think – what do I have to get done today! Whats needed to be done this week so that I can achieve my goals.

Like a sniper looks through his sights, this aligns your goals for the week!

Heading nowhere to your goals

Did you set lofty goals at the beginning of this year?

And did you forget about them and now realise it is already October again – this time 2022?

Don’t worry – let’s start again next year in 2023?

You are falling into the trap that keeps you the same every year.

Start on your goals tomorrow!

I will tell you how in my post tomorrow – so stay tuned!

What i learned from the great book thinking in bets

After reading this book I have noted some mental models or techniques that help you in your decision making

Keeping the door ajar (90% certainty of your beliefs).

Leaving some doubt so that the idea or action can be discussed. If we invert this idea, the likelihood that you are 100% correct 100% of the time is 0. It is irrational to belive that you are 100% correct so why are we so certain of all the choices that we make?

Ulysses contract (be proactive)

A Ulysses pact or Ulysses contract is a freely made decision that is designed and intended to bind oneself in the future. … The term refers to the pact that Ulysses (Greek name Ὀδυσσεύς, Odysseus) made with his men as they approached the Sirens – He tied himself to the mast so he could avoid the beautiful song of the sirens.

10 minutes – 10 hours – 10 years (first order/ second order effects)

Put your position out from where you stand and thinking about the impacts or likelihoods then

back casting (beginning with the end in mind)

If we put ourselves in the final position and look back, do you think of how naive we were for the original idea?

pre mortem (ante)

instead of a post mortem – conduct a premorterm to determine what you have and why you have made these decisions. this will allow you to review and adjust your decision making with the benefit of hindsight.

Related books

• thinking win- win. Story about battling with your partners. Losses of serotonin when someone ‘loses’. Change the frame
• Sharpen the saw (cointunous improvement – habits book)

So you picked up the Death card, it isn’t as bad as you think

Death Upright Meaning

The Death card is not about the literal death of any person. It represents the death of something else, like a project, plan, or relationship. This card also points to a time of harvest, symbolized in classical decks by the reaping skeleton.

Unless the fruits of summer are harvested, they are lost to winter’s harshness, and the people do not eat. As the scythe cuts the cords that link us to the past, it liberates us to go forward without fear, because we have nothing left to lose. Everything being pruned away is recycled for the fertility of the future, so that nothing is really ever lost, despite seasonal cycles of gain and loss.

In more modern Tarot decks, we see Death mounted on a horse and wearing black armor. The emphasis in these decks is on the punishment of sin, as in the way the medieval Plagu (which the Death image was based on) was used to explain the wrath of God. Luckily, in modern times, we are not so encumbered with such a guilt-ridden philosophy.

Death Reversed Meaning

The Death card reversed suggests that you might long for the cord to be cut, but unfortunately you have to persist and endure without the relief of an ending. It is not time for termination and closure yet.

Be patient with the current circumstances without resigning yourself to a negative outcome. Coming changes may alter the way you feel about the status quo. Remember that harvest isn’t started until the fruit is ripe. Work at becoming wiser and more mellow, sweeter and more nourishing, and your time of release may happen sooner.

Death Advice Position

The Death card advises you to break free from the old order. You may want to close accounts, complete unfinished tasks, and gather your harvest. It is time to move on. If you cut the cords that have bound you to old ways and outdated conventions, you could free yourself to join the sweep of incoming light. This is not an excuse to reject others or hurt them in any way. It is simply a time to move toward your ultimate interests.

Do not allow nostalgia and outworn loyalties to hold you back. Be willing to go through whatever it takes to get to where you really want to be.

Don’t return to old habits

As always – i need to try and fail. If i don’t risk it then there is no gain.

Do i want to leave my life in fear of losing?

No, I want to seek the gain.

It is irrational to think too far ahead and try not to be rejected.

How can I make a decision for her if I don’t even know what she wants?

That is irrational and is not the right decision making tree.

Remember to meditate and work through it…

Are you a justice?

Justice Upright Meaning

The Justice Tarot card has to do with moral sensitivity and that which gives rise to empathy, compassion, and a sense of fairness. Since the time of Solomon, this image has represented a standard for the humane and fair-minded treatment of other beings.

You will often see the image of a fulcrum or scale which means that you need to balance competing needs against the greater good, and a two-edged sword to symbolize the precision needed to make clear judgments, this card reminds us to be careful to attend to important details. It’s a mistake to overlook or trivialise anything where this card is concerned. The law of karma is represented here — what goes around comes around.

Justice Reversed Meaning

When the Justice card is reversed, the deeper meaning of this situation is being withheld for reasons only Higher Power truly understands. There are times that logical, common, rational and organic laws are overridden by some paradoxical higher order. A greater balance is at play that you may not grasp at this time.

At such times you won’t be fully aware about what is going on. Be patient, stay quiet, keep watching and listening. Eventually the chaos will resolve itself and an opportunity will reveal itself. Examine what is left after the chaos.

Justice Advice Position

The Justice card advises you to listen carefully as others explain to you their version of events and the parts they played. It is unnecessary to offer feedback. Your role is to observe, listen closely, give a full hearing and keep your wits about you as the story takes shape.

As you witness people’s account of themselves, your understanding will go beyond the words you hear. Subtle inferences and clues will reveal the truths that will enable you to make a wise and accurate assessment.

What does the Wheel of Fortune Tarot card mean?

Wheel of Fortune Upright

Cyclical change is upon you. The wheel keeps on rolling, churning events in a ceaseless progression of ups and downs, either way freeing us from the past. No one can escape the cycle, which can feel somewhat terrifying — no matter whether we are rising or falling. When one is balanced on top of the wheel, there is a moment of crystal clarity. However, there is one part of the wheel that does not move up or down, the hub, which represents your eternal self.

Every one of us will experience each of the points on the wheel at one time or another. The cycle of the wheel is its lesson — and we can learn to take comfort in it. If you don’t like the look of things right now, just wait — things will change. Of course, if you do like the look of things right now, enjoy it while it lasts, because that will change too!

Wheel of Fortune Reversed Meaning

When the Wheel of Fortune card is reversed, it suggests that you may have dropped from the heights and havereturned to the beginning — to either start over or reframe your plan.

This may feel as if you have hit bottom and what came before is a waste of time, but think of it as a chance to renew yourself and chart a new path that will help you rise from the ashes. You will be a more compassionate and wise person. In the future, you might want to temper your aspirations.

Wheel of Fortune Advice Position

The Wheel of Fortune advises you follow the flow of events. Physical moves, spiritual awakenings, or dramatically changing social patterns could arise now. Accept these transformations.

This is a safe place for you to be. You are watched over and protected as you go round and round the wheel. You will learn a lot. You will also learn it quickly, and what you absorb will benefit you for a long time to come.

The fourth turning is upon us.

What is Defi? Put your money to work and earn more interest than at the banks

The blockchain. Every transaction is recorded for all to say and you can track where all the more goes or how much is in it. Only one person has posession of the money at one time. You cannot say you have the money in the suitcase and rely on rep alone (like the gangstas you see in the movies meeting up to exchange goods).

If this system is now secure and we have trust. Then we could start doing things with the money – one way is to loan to another person. This is where decentralised finance comes in. If you have some money/BTC that you do not need to use in the short term future – you could give this money to loan this to somone else at a agreed upon rate.

The trouble historically with peer-peer lending that this is not your main game. If the borrower doesn’t pay – how do you get the money back or how can you take the collateral without penalty? You dont have the muscle to pick up payments or are you bothered to be the bad guy lender. This is where the blockchain solves enforcement.

How is this all enforced? Everything is running according to code. So a protocol (AAVE or uniswap) would get people together and then agree to run the exchange code. A person can be need of AUD and stake their 1BTC in return for some cash. There is no need for the structures of law to take place because it is all code. The downside will be checking for errors in the code. We expect there to be standard trusted protocols in place in the future.

If all goes well. You can receive yield from your assets greater than the bank can give at the moment all around the world. That means loaning from the bank isn’t always needed.

Comparison with traditional home loan – Lending to buy a house you borrow to buy an asset. if you don’t pay the interest that asset gets taken away from you. Inforcement is done through contracts and the rule of law wherever you are. Since you are not 1:1 collateral your credit worthiness is taken into account (job, savings, spending habits )

Future takeaway I like to predict the future by seeing what will be removed rather than added. We see that the traditional role of banks is not necessary in this Defi world. The middleman is taken out and their %cut for being financiers is removed.